The Fed is very likely to cut rates this week, but there’s a detail you need to pay attention to—

BNY Mellon has given this rate cut a name: “hawkish rate cut.” Sounds contradictory? To put it simply: after this cut, when’s the next one? That’ll depend on next year’s economic data.

What’s even more subtle is that there’s internal disagreement within the Fed, and the chair position is about to change hands. The faucet is indeed being turned on, but how much and for how long—there are many variables.

What does this mean for the crypto market?

Expectations for liquidity are still there, which is good news. But don’t expect money to flood in like a dam opening up—the market won’t overheat overnight, and in fact, this may give retail investors like you and me a bit of breathing room. For mainstream coins like Bitcoin, they still benefit from a loose monetary environment in the long run, and short-term volatility is normal.

So what should we do? Remember these four tips:

Don’t chase pumps or panic sell—if your mindset collapses, nothing else matters; build your positions gradually when assets drop to value levels, don’t go all-in at once; keep a close eye on data releases in March-April and June next year—those could be the signals for a policy shift; keep some cash on hand—opportunity always favors the prepared.

Policy is wavering, the market is changing, but the real money-making opportunities are often hidden in this kind of volatility. Stay sharp, keep learning, and don’t let your emotions lead you by the nose.