The Fed is set to make a big move this week, and the interest rate decision in the early hours of Thursday may not be as straightforward as you think.
Is the market widely expecting a 25 basis point rate cut? Don't rush to conclusions. There are dissenting voices within the FOMC, with some members explicitly opposing a cut. What's more complicated is that the government shutdown has led to missing key economic data for October, which narrows the room for SEP and dot plot adjustments.
There's also a variable: RRP (Reverse Repurchase Program) may face adjustments. Some investment banks predict t

#美国证券交易委员会推进数字资产监管框架创新 The case of LUNA founder Do Kwon has been settled. He pleaded guilty in August last year in Manhattan Federal Court, admitting to two felonies: conspiracy to commit fraud and wire fraud. Now, all that remains is to hear the sentencing on December 11.
How will the judge rule? That's the key point. The prosecution recommends a starting point of 12 years, with a solid rationale — the scale of the losses caused by this case is unprecedented, with global investors losing about $40 billion. However, the defense will surely argue for a lighter sentence, requesting it be under 5

Silver has broken above $60—this is not just about commodity prices; behind it is a major shift in the entire liquidity ecosystem.
What does last night's market turbulence indicate? US stocks kept falling, JPMorgan experienced a sharp decline, and panic sentiments are spreading everywhere. But what really stirs the global capital markets are two issues: the future path of the Federal Reserve and what changes the Trump power transition might bring.
First, look at the current hard data—
Unexpected improvement in employment has directly dampened expectations of rate cuts. While US Treasuries decl

Recently, I noticed an interesting phenomenon—since the end of last month, after various platforms started supporting Ondo's stock tokens, on-chain data has not cooled down.
Looking at the latest data: trading volume on weekdays has stabilized around $25 million, and the new issuance scale on-chain has also reached about $15 million daily. To be honest, I used to think that "everything on-chain" was just a slogan, but this wave of data growth has indeed exceeded expectations.
What's even more astonishing is—just looking at the first week of December, Bitget's Ondo stock token trading volume al

@$DOGE: Last night, the market experienced a complete tear!
Silver unprecedentedly broke through $60, which has gone beyond the scope of commodities. In essence, the market is betting on the Federal Reserve and the future direction of currency. Meanwhile, U.S. stocks are falling continuously, and JPMorgan Chase has plummeted nearly 5%, with panic spreading.
The core is one—Federal Reserve + Trump.
Employment data suddenly improved, initially cooling expectations of rate cuts. U.S. Treasuries fell, but cryptocurrencies took the opportunity to rally. Under this uncertainty, capital is franticall

#以太坊行情技术解读 Ten years, from twenty thousand to eight figures. I didn't rely on talent, insider information, or luck. The only support was a method that many mocked as "foolish"—and precisely because of this "foolishness," I have come this far.
Actually, the core isn't complicated: three lines determine the direction. The 50-day moving average indicates short-term trends, the 200-day moving average assesses the overall bull or bear market, and volume helps identify genuine capital flows.
In 2017, when BTC broke through $5,000, the 50-day line stayed firmly above the 200-day line, and volume sudd

Noticed an interesting detail in the market—some insider whale at 1011 has placed a buy wall of 19,108 ETH at the $3,280 level. This wall still seems quite solid for now. However, it's uncertain when it might be eaten through or if the person will just pull it back themselves.
Friends who still hold open positions are advised not to rush into long positions. A more cautious approach is to wait until after the rate cut decision lands in the early hours of the 11th, then wait until Powell finishes speaking around 3:30 AM, clearly observe the market reaction, and then take action—it's not too lat

Recently, people in the crypto circle probably need to be more cautious.
The CEO of a leading exchange posted a warning on social media a few days ago — the phishing attacks targeting crypto industry practitioners have become so sophisticated that they are hard to defend against.
The scheme goes like this: You first receive what looks like a normal meeting invitation, which may come from a Telegram private message or a schedule link that looks legitimate. Clicking on it, the Zoom or Teams meeting interface appears normal.
But once you enter the meeting room, the other party starts to play thei

#数字资产生态回暖 Brothers, let's talk about the recent market trend. Will $BTC first drop to 9.0000 and then rebound, or will it go straight to 9.6000 and then pull back? My judgment is that it will first test the support level downward before going up. $ETH follows a similar logic—will it reach the 3.150 level first, then move toward 3.500, or the other way around? I tend to believe it will synchronize with Bitcoin. As for ZEC, this coin is a bit interesting; it might play out a different rhythm: initially trading within the 5.00-5.50 range, then dipping to 3.90, and finally rebounding back to 4.50.

There is new progress this week in the drama surrounding the Federal Reserve chair nomination. Trump has publicly stated that he wants to meet with several candidates, claiming it will be the "final interview." It sounds quite formal, but everyone knows deep down—it's more like going through the motions.
What’s interesting is Haskett’s stance. This popular candidate first said that "becoming chair will maintain independence," but shortly afterward, he was already discussing large-rate cuts. His words are quite eloquent, which translates to: I think I’m quite independent, but whether you believ

#数字资产生态回暖 $ETH is still in a floating profit state, feeling very stable.
Keep holding, there should be some fluctuations in the evening.
That's when you'll know what the feeling of takeoff is, looking forward to a surge.
Just waiting for the take-profit signal to come.

#以太坊行情技术解读 the U.S. House of Representatives is working hard to get Senate support, and the crypto market structure bill must be finalized before the end of the month.
What does this mean for players in the crypto circle? To put it bluntly, once the bill is passed, we will be able to get rid of the current hazy state and get a clear set of regulatory rules. On the contrary, if it gets stuck again, market sentiment will definitely be under pressure.
You can see the recent performance of the top currencies such as $BTC, $ETH, $XRP - they are listening to policy rumors to some extent. The cleare

#美联储联邦公开市场委员会决议 $ETH $BTC don't keep staring at the good - the problem is that you are not watching the same channel as me.
Cutting interest rates sounds cool, but this medicine is prescribed a little reluctantly. The economy is weak, and no matter how strong the medicine is, it cannot bear it.
The recent employment report revealed several details. What does it mean that there are fewer resignations and more layoffs? It shows that enterprises are shrinking and the economy is wilting. Wage growth is slowing down, and the consumer side is already screaming.
What's even more heart-wrenching is t

#数字资产生态回暖 the market is up, $WET if you don't miss this wave, you can earn 1.4 times. To be honest, the market value of this coin is still room for imagination, and it is not difficult to break the circulating market value of 100 million. I believe that this round of rebound can continue to push up and continue to increase positions.

#数字资产生态回暖 $PIPPIN recent wave of the market does look a little different. Small plates, concentrated chips, and full of heat - these three things are superimposed, and it is naturally easy to have a rapid rise. The market capitalization is there, and it does not require a huge amount of money to drive price changes, which is the basic logic of small-cap coins.
What's more interesting is that the circulating chips are basically placed on the table, and there is no hidden "thunder", and the large investors want to pull the market after absorbing enough goods, and the decline is limited, but the

Update today's view. Last night, the wave rose too fiercely, and the floating profit in hand once reached more than 30,000 U, I originally thought about the pattern, but the fluctuations were too big at night or I chose to protect the capital and reduce the position. Now that the price is back, the position is pitifully light.
It depends on whether the market gives you a chance to add it back today. Focus on Ethereum's 3400 position, which was a key point in the previous support and resistance swap. Is it a rebound or a real reversal? The answer is estimated to be clear in the next day or two.

#数字资产生态回暖 the eve of the Fed's decision, can Bitcoin break through?
$BTC is currently bottoming out at $92,400, breaking through $94,000 intraday but failing to stand firm, and finally returned to shock mode. The eyes of the entire market are focused on the Fed's interest rate decision tomorrow (December 11), which may determine the direction of the short-term market.
**The two heavens of macro games**
There are actually many reasons to be bullish. The basic consensus in the market is that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points and end balance sheet reduction, which is good for ri

#BTC与代币化贵金属对比 The market has been really interesting lately. The popularity of MEME coins is indeed full, and the performance of $PEPE and $DOGE is remarkable, and the entire MEME track is extremely hot. At the same time, mainstream currencies such as BTC and ETH are performing steadily and establishing a bottom with peace of mind. On the contrary, some small and medium-sized currencies have been frequently surprised recently, and small breakthroughs and new opportunities can emerge every day.
Under this pattern, market participants have their own ways of playing - some are optimistic about t

The #美联储联邦公开市场委员会决议 25 basis point rate cut has long been digested by the market.
The policy is realized, whether it should rise or not, whether it should fall or not - it is just like this. But there is a hidden worry behind this: Powell may have to turn to a hawkish position, after all, the dragon of inflation has not yet been completely defeated.
Interestingly, $ZEC directly rose today, with an intraday increase of nearly 20%, and the bull signal on the K-line was full of screens. This is worth pondering:
"Is this the last madness before the policy boots really land?"
Or is it "the liquidi

Not long after entering the circle, I only had a principal of 100U in my hand, and I wanted to try to see if I could steadily turn to 200U.
Now I am a little confused, I don't know whether to start with spot or try small contract positions, and I am not sure which coins to focus on. Seeing that the market fluctuates quite a lot, I am both excited and worried that I will lose money if I am not careful.
Is there anyone who can share their experience? How to start with a small amount of money? Should I learn technical analysis first, or follow the market hotspots? I really want to learn, not to g