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Is the Federal Reserve really about to stop? The non-farm payroll data this time is a bit heartbreaking.
Breaking it down—unemployment rate dropped directly to 4.4%, which looks good, but the problem is that the hiring side is exploding. In December, only 50,000 jobs were added, and the previous month cut 76,000, which is the worst since the pandemic. Throughout 2024, only 584,000 jobs were added, with an average of just 61,000 per month in the private sector, the weakest since 2003.
As soon as the data was released, the market exploded. Interest rate swap trading immediately set the probabili
View OriginalBreaking it down—unemployment rate dropped directly to 4.4%, which looks good, but the problem is that the hiring side is exploding. In December, only 50,000 jobs were added, and the previous month cut 76,000, which is the worst since the pandemic. Throughout 2024, only 584,000 jobs were added, with an average of just 61,000 per month in the private sector, the weakest since 2003.
As soon as the data was released, the market exploded. Interest rate swap trading immediately set the probabili