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The rebounds over the past four weeks have all been pullbacks along the 1–3 day moving average. Now, the market is starting to pull back upward along the 5-day moving average and the weekly chart. The pullback has been upgraded, so this month will definitely set a new high, and the top will be higher than the March peak by several thousand points. The upside space has been opened up—this is what determines that low-position longs can be continued. You can be more greedy for more of the upside space. This is the trading logic going forward, with low-position longs as the main focus. If the high

The information interface switches too quickly, so both longs and shorts need to react quickly to take profits and stop losses. If the attack escalates tonight, the trend will be similar to April 2nd. If it's just a false alarm, the rebound will continue. On the daily chart, there is still a rebound trend; once a level has been reached, there's no need to short again. Only short new highs, such as 70400 (the recent resistance point), 71025-71400#Gate广场四月发帖挑战

BTC amplitude narrows, gradually pushing upward, but it’s a low-volume rebound—for now, the main approach is still to short on rallies. Also, the recent support levels are moving up, so for each current minor resistance point, if you short, you need to watch the chart and take profit nearby. Since the various resistance points are very close to each other, it’s not worth setting stop-losses that far; if you trade, you need to participate with a small position. Only if the rebound reaches 68,200-68,750 can you short with a normal position.
Short short points: 67,525 (already hit once—don’t take

Third, technical analysis. The coin is currently hovering around 66,000, appearing to be holding up, but in fact the focus is shifting downward. In the move from 60,000 to 76,000, the 618 retracement level is right at 66 one line. It’s just barely stepping on it right now, but it’s holding very reluctantly. The daily RSI is below the midline and can’t lift, and the MACD is in the red with a bearish dead cross and red bars—everything points to weakness. Also, the diagonal trendline has already been broken. The earlier segment from 64,939 to 69,286 was a zigzag, and now it looks possible that it

#Gate广场四月发帖挑战 . But before the end of the US-Iran conflict, the short-term rebound and shorting profit and loss ratio are still the largest. The symbolic event marking the end of the US-Iran conflict must be the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Other verbal "negotiations" and "friendly talks" are just distractions. Only when the Strait of Hormuz reopens will oil prices be substantially driven down, leading to a surge in US stocks and the crypto market. This timing is believed not to be too far away because crude oil, unlike gold, cannot rise infinitely. It affects various aspects of human ci

Drop from 8-10 AM, then rebound in the European session from 3-4 PM, so you can go long. Usually, you can open a small position near noon; the rebound continues from late night into the morning, so in the morning, go short. After 4-6 PM, it will retest support levels, and before the US market closes, take profits. This has been the short-term rhythm every day recently. From 21:30-23:59, only do ultra-short-term trades during the first half of the night. From 24-4 AM, during Asia's late-night sleep time, do not trade.

8 hours ago at 1 a.m.: Iranian President signals readiness to end the war
Bitcoin rises from 66,500 to 68,500
U.S. stocks Nasdaq up 3%, S&P 500 and Dow Jones up 2%
Silver up 6.00%, Gold up 3%
Brent crude oil plunges -4.00%
So exciting, while I was sleeping, the Iranian President made positive remarks, this time Iran is easing tensions
So the global markets surged, oil prices plummeted.
Finally seeing some hope,
BTC rushes towards 70,000

ETH is slightly stronger than BTC, rebounding first to the 1-day EMA30 (2089). The short-term maximum resistance if it moves higher is the 1-day EMA52 (2166). The middle band of the 1-day Bollinger Bands around 2115 is also a resistance point. If it's a short-term long position for profit-taking, these two levels should be taken profit in stages. For a short position, it involves a core position between these two points (3%) plus a 9-10% position, corresponding to a leverage of 26-30 times.

March 30th, Monday opening
A-shares plummeted -2%, US stock index futures dropped -1.5%
Japanese stock market crashed -5%, Korean stock market crashed -5.2%
Bitcoin BTC dipped to 65,000 then quickly rebounded to 67,000. This wave of a sharp drop at Monday's open caused a global crash, but BTC price did not continue to fall
Panic sentiment reached extreme levels at 8, extreme fear, and continued to double in panic, yet BTC price did not drop
There are only 40 hours left until the monthly close
Still looking for a monthly bullish close; after the decline, it should rebound. From Marc

Earlier, when BTC was still at $69,443, Sugar Brother indicated that the bullish momentum on the hourly chart had already dissipated, and a retest was expected; the trend and expectations were the same, with the price plunging by $4,000. It only began to slow its decline after reaching the short-term support at $65,198.
Currently, the market remains a standard bearish structure across all levels. Continuing to anticipate a retest is a necessary preparation. The upward movements are mostly bait moves, so there's no need to participate, but you can reserve for a high sell after a potential rally

Why did BTC plummet? Risk assets are definitely the first to be sold off in an investment portfolio. The higher the risk, the earlier they are sold, such as ETH, SOL, altcoins, and meme coins, which have already been sold off.
BTC will drop to a price beyond your imagination this year—a super bear market. Are there still people who think it can rise to 150,000 or 200,000? A few months ago, many said it could go to 200,000.

Today, Bitcoin has once again triggered a massive wave of bullish traders. Even if it drops to 61,000, it can only trigger over 1.3 billion in long positions; but if it rises to 76,000, it can trigger over 2.2 billion in short positions. The recent market has been fluctuating back and forth, repeatedly shaking out both bulls and bears. Now that the longs are almost exhausted, what will the big players do next? Stay tuned.

Ending the war as soon as possible may be wishful thinking on Trump's part. A quick resolution is unrealistic. The U.S. side's 15:00 demands are extremely high, while Iran's 5:00 bottom line is non-negotiable. Iran has also stated officially: When the war ends depends on Iran, not Trump. What if you can't beat us? Fighting to the death puts you in a dilemma. Moreover, Israel is the biggest external obstacle to a ceasefire.
Most likely, it will be a process of ongoing negotiations with low-intensity conflict; a less likely scenario is a stalemate with gradual de-escalation; a full-scale escalat

Ending the war as soon as possible may be wishful thinking on Trump's part; a quick resolution is unrealistic. The U.S. side's 15:00 demands are extremely high, while Iran's 5:00 bottom line is non-negotiable. Iran has also stated officially: "When the war ends depends on Iran, not Trump." What if you can't beat us? Fighting to the death puts you in a dilemma. Moreover, Israel is the biggest external obstacle to a ceasefire.
The most likely scenario is a combination of ongoing negotiations and low-intensity conflict; a less likely scenario is a stalemate with gradual de-escalation; escalation

Oil prices are fluctuating up and down with choppy price action, just like baccarat where the banker and player alternate wins—making it impossible to place large bets. In the short term, there's no clear directional setup for either longs or shorts. The only viable approach is to reduce position sizes and take profits manually in a timely manner or use scaled limit orders for stop profit levels. If price breaks above, go short on new highs; if it breaks below, go long on new lows. During consolidation in the middle range, you can only maintain conservative positions and grind it out.

Oil prices fluctuate up and down with choppy price action, like baccarat where the banker wins one hand and the player wins the next—it's impossible to place heavy bets. In the short term, there's no clear directional bias for either long or short positions. The only strategy is to reduce position size, take profits manually in a timely manner, or use scaled profit-taking orders. Break above and short the new high, break below and long the new low. For the oscillating range in between, you can only maintain conservative positions and collect small gains.

Gold continues to fall to new lows, and the S&P 500 index has been declining continuously. What is the reason BTC is no longer falling in tandem?
I have been warning for weeks that US stocks will crash and AI will undergo a major shakeup. Let me go back to why BTC is not falling in sync?
Look at the monitoring of main capital flow on valuescan. Currently there is still over 4 billion accumulated, likely because the main capital hasn't completely escaped yet and wants to continue consolidating for a while longer.
Another reason is that the consolidation period during the decline to 60,000 was t

These past few days it's basically been swinging back and forth between 73000 and 76000, with not much volatility. Neither bulls nor bears have dared to push hard, and trading volume hasn't picked up much either, which suggests everyone is just waiting and watching.
In the short term, we'll likely see the price grinding out a bottom within this range. If volume picks up and breaks through 76000, there could be another bounce higher; but if it breaks below 73000, it might test the previous lows. For now, I'm not seeing any clear reversal signals yet.

$DOGE You're asking why I'm bullish on Dogecoin? Let me explain it this way. Dogecoin has been declining since May 2021 until now - a 5-year decline with a total drop of less than 10x. However, from January 28 to January 29, 2021, just two days, Dogecoin surged from 0.007 to 0.08, nearly a 12x increase in two days.

This week's market action is thrilling
This week's market has been a warm current
$BTC moved from 6.7W to 7.39W, forming a double top
Then it dropped to 7.03W, and today it rallied to 7.18W
This is a very positive signal, it didn't break below 7W
I have two views for next week's market:
First scenario: The most likely is accelerated uptrend!
Second scenario: Continued consolidation between 6.8-7.5W
In the short term over the next week, I'm not expecting a decline