BlockBeats News, March 26: The United States has been continuously sending signals for US-Iran peace talks recently, but has been constantly undermined by Iran. Officials from the Trump administration stated that the White House is working to arrange a meeting this weekend in Pakistan to discuss solutions to the Iran crisis, and US Vice President Vance may travel to Pakistan this weekend to participate in talks with Iran. The United States simultaneously insists that it has not received any signals of Iran's rejection of negotiations.

At the same time, Iran took a hardline stance, stating that ceasefire and negotiations are not feasible at the current stage, and laid out five conditions for ceasefire: complete cessation of aggression and assassination, ensuring war will not be imposed on Iran again, war reparations, ending the war on all fronts and by all resistance organizations, and recognition of Iran's sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. Iran simultaneously warned sternly that if Iran's hostile forces occupy Iranian islands, Iran may open a new battlefield in the Strait of Mandab.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, currently on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of a US-Iran ceasefire this month is 14%, and the probability of a ceasefire before the end of next month is 50%.