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The odds on Polymarket are getting closer.
During the Polymarket Interest Rate event this weekend, Ghatam Johanni warned that short-term fluctuations could go in two directions, depending on who enters the oval office. A survey in Iowa showed the Democratic candidate leading by 3%. Subsequently, Trump's advantage over Harris on Polymarket decreased from a 33% gap on October 30th to about 11%. Trump is currently leading the presidential race on the Decentralization prediction platform, with a 57.9% to 42.1% advantage over Harris. This result makes it the largest prediction market to date, with a volume of approximately 3.1 billion USD.