Original Title: Macro Tops: the multi decade bear market
Original author: mikeykremer, Messari researcher
Original compilation: ChatGPT
Editor's note: The author reviews the period from the outbreak of World War II in 1939 to Trump's re-election in 2024. During this period, the U.S.-led global economy experienced a super bull market driven by one-time events such as rising to a superpower after World War II, the entry of women and minorities into the labor market, and the victory of the Cold War. However, the author believes that this feast has ended due to factors such as the trend towards deglobalization, unsustainable labor force expansion, and the difficulty of further interest rate cuts. In the future, there will be financial asset liquidation, capital controls, and fiscal repression. Traditional markets will find it difficult to regain their glory, while gold and bitcoin, as non-traditional assets that are difficult for governments to control, will become safe havens. In particular, bitcoin can