Ladies and gentlemen, today SOL has been declining all the way down to around 120, and many friends are starting to feel a bit nervous. Actually, there's no need to rush; let's carefully analyze this trend. **What does the news say?** The key point is this logic—why do funds tend to run when the moving averages break down? An institutional analyst pointed out that moving averages are not just lines on a chart; they reflect the true market sentiment. Currently, BTC, ETH, and SOL are all stuck below critical moving averages. What does this indicate? Short-term funds are indeed withdrawing in an orderly manner. Once large funds exit, the market is like losing its support point; rebounds lose momentum, and declines accelerate. This is not baseless speculation but the result of real actions by institutions. From a news perspective, the sentiment is indeed quite cold, and funds are still lurking and observing. Blindly bottom-fishing now is really not advisable. **What clues does the technical analysis reveal?** Currently, SOL is at 122.39. On the 4-hour chart, both MACD lines are firmly below the zero axis—this is a classic bearish pattern. The 125-126 level is not just a resistance zone; it’s a critical dividing line between bulls and bears. Overall, in the short term, it's best to remain patient and wait for clearer signals before taking action.

Recently, there have been quite a few new developments in the Web3 ecosystem. Here is a summary of some noteworthy project opportunities for everyone. First is a check-in task for a certain AI project. You can accumulate points by checking in daily. Although the official identity refresh is a bit slow and the experience is average, since it’s available, just participate casually. A new gameplay has been launched in the prediction market sector, combining wallet applications and Kalshi’s features. Those interested can give it a try. In the NFT space, a Genesis SBT is being released. The minting cost is ridiculously low, only about $0.1 in gas fees. After minting with a new wallet, you can complete tasks on the task interface to earn points. The Moonbird NFT has also recently been minted. This project has maintained popularity over the past two years. Trading Moonbirds on a certain DEX will earn additional rewards. I heard that this platform plans to issue its own token next year. Participating now is like killing two birds with one stone. Another NFT project has introduced an innovative empowerment mechanism. Addresses holding its OG NFT can participate in a public offering with a valuation of 55 million W. There are a total of 5,500 NFTs, each with a quota of $200. If the valuation grows to 0.5-1 billion, the theoretical return could be around 9 to 18 times, which is quite attractive for NFT holders. The last is a welfare project in the Solana ecosystem. Download a certain walk-and-earn app from the official app store, enter an invitation code to check in daily, and receive tokens. Currently, each token is worth about $0.14. The tokens can be directly withdrawn to your wallet. Linking your Discord or X account can earn extra rewards. Walking and opening treasure chests gives a chance to earn various ecosystem tokens like SOL, BONK, ROVR, and more.

Recently, there has been some unusual activity. A $240 million combined short position has quietly gone live: $166 million in short positions on BTC $54.85 million in bearish bets on ETH $18.79 million in shorts on SOL This scale is no longer the panic selling of retail investors—this is real money. The whales are using their positions to express their judgment on the market: whether it will go up or down, volatility is inevitable. The problem is, such levels of positions are like a ticking time bomb. Profit-taking by shorts can cause a sell-off, and forced liquidations of longs can trigger a surge. Every move by the opposing side can set off a chain reaction, and we ordinary investors happen to be at the center of the storm. Rather than guessing whether the whales are right or wrong, it’s better to ask yourself one question: when big institutions are engaged in a bloody battle, how should I protect my assets to avoid becoming cannon fodder in their war? Over the years, whenever I encounter such situations, I do the same thing—move part of my funds into places that are completely unrelated to long/short battles. The rules are clear, and the value is stable, like a safe harbor in the asset pool. For example, systems built on protocols like USDD. Its advantages are straightforward: 1. USDD always maintains a 1 USD peg, backed by an on-chain over-collateralization mechanism. No matter how whales open or close positions, they cannot change this price. Liquidations, forced sales, sudden surges or drops—none of these affect this stablecoin. Your USDD truly exists in your own wallet. No exchanges, no intermediaries—withdraw whenever you want, and no one can restrict you. Compared to some centralized stablecoin schemes, this level of sovereignty is on a different scale. When the long/short battles turn the market upside down, at least some assets can stay safely in the secure zone. This is not about abandoning trading, but about leaving yourself an escape route.