Hedera (HBAR) To Dip Further? This Bearish Fractal Setup Suggest Potential Downside Move!

Key Takeaways

• HBAR is down over 26% in 30 days, under heavy altcoin selling pressure.

• Price has lost the 100-week MA, signaling weakening momentum.

• HBAR’s structure closely mirrors CRO’s 2024 bearish fractal.

• A breakdown below $0.084 could expose $0.041 as the next major support.

• Reclaiming $0.1547 would invalidate the bearish fractal setup.

The broader altcoins crypto market has faced strong selling pressure over the past 30 days, with Ethereum (ETH) sliding more than 28%, keeping pressure firmly on major altcoins.

Among them, Hedera (HBAR) has been particularly weak — dropping over 13% in the past week and extending its 30-day decline beyond 26%. What’s catching traders’ attention now is a familiar fractal pattern from Cronos (CRO), which suggests HBAR may be setting up for a deeper downside move in the near term.

Source: Coinmarketcap

Fractal Setup Hints at Further Downside

A side-by-side comparison of CRO and HBAR reveals striking similarities.

Back in late 2024, Cronos broke out from a falling wedge and staged a strong rally — only to roll over shortly after. Price slipped below the 100 moving average, signaling weakening momentum. What followed was a sharp corrective phase that eventually dragged CRO into its accumulation support zone, completing a deep drawdown.

CRO and HBAR Fractal Chart/Coinsprobe (Source: Tradingview)

HBAR now appears to be following a very similar script.

After its own falling wedge breakout rally, Hedera entered a steep correction. Price has since lost the 100-week moving average and is now pressing into the $0.084 support area, closely aligning with CRO’s final stage correction before its deeper drop.

With this fractal lining up almost point-for-point, the technical picture suggests bearish momentum is still in control.

Moving averages are rolling over, structure is weakening, and buyers are struggling to reclaim higher levels — all classic signs of a market still searching for a durable bottom.

What’s Next for HBAR?

If this fractal continues to play out, a clean breakdown below the $0.084 support could open the door for a move toward the deeper accumulation zone near $0.041 over the coming weeks.

That would mirror CRO’s historical decline after it lost key moving averages and failed to hold its initial support.

On the flip side, bulls still have a chance to invalidate this bearish setup.

A strong reclaim of the 100-week moving average near $0.1547 would be an early signal that momentum is shifting back in HBAR’s favor — and that this CRO-style fractal may fail.

For now, however, the weekly structure keeps HBAR technically vulnerable. Until major resistance levels are recovered, the path of least resistance remains tilted to the downside, with traders closely watching whether this familiar fractal plays out once again.

Disclaimer: The views and analysis presented in this article are for informational purposes only and reflect the author’s perspective, not financial advice. Technical patterns and indicators discussed are subject to market volatility and may or may not yield the anticipated results. Investors are advised to exercise caution, conduct independent research, and make decisions aligned with their individual risk tolerance.

About Author: Nilesh Hembade is the Founder and Lead Author of Coinsprobe, with over 5 years of experience in the cryptocurrency and blockchain industry. Since launching Coinsprobe in 2023, he has been providing daily, research-driven insights through in-depth market analysis, on-chain data, and technical research.