PANews February 10 News, according to the “2026 Skynet Prediction Market Report” released by CertiK, prediction markets saw trading volume grow to $63.5 billion in 2025, achieving a fourfold increase, with Kalshi, Polymarket, and Opinion becoming dominant platforms. However, this growth also brought new risks, including oracle vulnerabilities, administrator key misuse, and Web2.5 architecture issues.
The report states that prediction markets are considered legal financial products in the United States through CFTC rulings, but are viewed as unlicensed gambling and banned in several EU countries. Additionally, regulatory differences across US states may further complicate compliance. In December 2025, Polymarket’s third-party certification provider experienced a security incident, exposing centralized failure points in the hybrid Web2/Web3 architecture. The study also estimates that during the airdrop peak, manual trading on some platforms accounted for up to 60%, severely distorting liquidity metrics.
CertiK predicts that in 2026, prediction markets will see accelerated technological privacy enhancements and institutional adoption, but platforms will need to address liquidity maintenance, security infrastructure development, and revenue model sustainability to achieve long-term growth.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
A certain CEX clarifies: Polymarket user attempting to manipulate BP coin price is not an insider
A certain CEX reported that traders hold large open positions on Polymarket, with expectations that BP's FDV will exceed $200 million after TGE, driving up BP's price. The CEX's investigation confirmed that these traders are unrelated to them, and they maintain a zero-tolerance stance toward insider trading.
GateNews3m ago
Polymarket Fee Reform Takes Effect March 30, Biggest Impact on Crypto Trading
Prediction market platform Polymarket announced that it will expand trading fees to most market categories, with cryptocurrency market fees rising to 1.8% and sports betting market fees at 0.75%. Fee rates fluctuate based on event odds, while simultaneously launching a referral program and new market integrity rules to comply with regulatory requirements and promote market transparency.
MarketWhisper1h ago
BitGo Prime and Susquehanna Crypto Launch Institutional-Grade OTC Prediction Market Trading Service with Minimum Threshold of $100,000
BitGo Prime and Susquehanna Crypto jointly launched an over-the-counter prediction market trading service for institutional clients, allowing institutional investors to use digital assets held in BitGo custody as collateral, with a minimum trade size of $100,000, liquidity provided by Susquehanna, primarily serving hedge funds and ultra-high-net-worth investors.
GateNews2h ago
Stripe Co-Founder: Kalshi Integrating Stripe Connect
Golden Finance reports that on March 24, recently Stripe co-founder John Collison and Paradigm co-founder Matt Huang had a dialogue with Kalshi's two founders Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara. In the video conversation, the Stripe co-founder confirmed that Kalshi is integrating Stripe.
金色财经_10h ago
