U.S. stocks open higher, non-farm payroll data exceeds expectations, boosting the market

QCP: Macroeconomic and geopolitical situations still dominate market sentiment; Bitcoin remains resilient amid panic.

QCP Capital reports that Bitcoin is fluctuating around $70,000. The market reacts quickly to inflation shocks, but geopolitical risks still suppress risk appetite. Bitcoin shows resilience, with outflows indicating tokens being moved rather than sold off. Overall market sentiment is cautious; dips are being accumulated but there’s no chasing of rallies. It is expected to remain in a range and fluctuate in the short term.

Gold crashes 21%, hitting a 106-year record. After Bitcoin stays steady at $70,000, what is its future trend?

In March 2026, gold experienced its largest decline in nearly a century, dropping from $5,193 to $4,098, reflecting a reassessment of its safe-haven properties by investors. Meanwhile, Bitcoin performed relatively stably, becoming a new store of value for some investors. The correlation between gold and Bitcoin has fallen to -0.31, indicating diverging trends. Market opinions on gold's outlook are divided, and future movements will be influenced by geopolitical and monetary policy developments.

G7 will discuss releasing strategic oil reserves next week to address the impact of the Strait of Hormuz blockade.

French Trade Minister Papan stated that the G7 will discuss releasing strategic oil reserves at next week's meeting, due to the impact of the Iran conflict with the US and Israel on global energy supplies. The International Energy Agency has agreed to release some reserves to address the situation.

Multiple Institutions Raise U.S. Economic Recession Probability

Due to the ongoing U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict, the risk of U.S. economic recession is rising, with multiple institutions forecasting recession probabilities of 30%-48.6%. If high oil prices persist, they could push the economy into recession, causing concern among economists.

Multiple institutions raise U.S. economic recession probability; Moody's predicts recession probability rises to 48.6% over the next 12 months

Due to prolonged conflicts between the U.S., Israel, and Iran, the U.S. economy faces downside risks, with multiple institutions raising recession probability forecasts. Moody's Analytics predicts a 48.6% probability. Goldman Sachs, Wilmington Trust, and EY forecast probabilities of 30%, 45%, and 40%, respectively. Experts warn that recession risks are rising.

OpenAI Reveals "AI Bubble Is Bursting": Sora Halted, Disney Withdraws $1 Billion, Pentagon Controversy, Single Quarter Loss of $11.5 Billion

OpenAI has recently faced multiple crises, including the shutdown of its Sora video generation platform, Disney's withdrawal of its $1 billion investment plan, user attrition and executive departures due to Pentagon contracts, and a quarterly loss of $11.5 billion in 2025. External skepticism about its business model and concerns over an AI bubble burst are mounting, with its future profitability prospects looking bleak.