On Polymarket, the probability that Opinion's FDV exceeds $250 million on its first day of trading is 87%

MLB Partners with Polymarket! New Era for Prediction Markets?

Major League Baseball (MLB) announced a partnership with prediction market platform Polymarket to serve as the official prediction market exchange, and jointly established risk control measures to limit high-risk markets. The move aims to ensure game integrity and promote the development of legal prediction markets, while raising concerns about manipulation risks and legal positioning. Supporters believe that through cooperation, clear rules can be established and market transparency can be improved.

New Wallet "propescia" Invests $159,000 Betting on Three Predictions About US-Iran Situation

Gate News reported that on March 24, Lookonchain monitoring showed that a newly created wallet named "propescia" deposited approximately 159,000 USD to place bets on the US-Iran situation in a prediction market. The wallet's betting directions include three items: the US and Iran will not reach a ceasefire agreement before March 31, the US military will not enter Iran before March 31, and the US military will enter Iran before April 30.

Polymarket "Trump will visit China by April 30" probability rises to 23%, up 9% in 24 hours

Gate News: On March 24, the Polymarket event "Trump will visit China before April 30" rebounded to 23% probability, up 9% in 24 hours, with trading volume around 2.628 million USD. Additionally, the event "Trump will visit China before May 31" is currently at 56% probability, and "Trump will visit China before June 3" is currently at 71% probability. Foreign Ministry spokesperson Lin Jian previously responded at a regular press conference regarding "when Trump's visit to China might be rescheduled," stating that both China and the US have maintained communication on issues including the timing of President Trump's visit to China.

Kalshi Blocks Users for Insider Trading, Bipartisan Bill Fires Opening Shot in Prediction Market Regulation Battle

Prediction market platform Kalshi has implemented measures prohibiting political candidates and known sports participants from placing bets on related markets. This move reflects regulatory concerns about insider trading and comes alongside bills proposed by both Democratic and Republican parties attempting to ban event contracts similar to sports betting. Kalshi's CEO has voiced strong opposition to the legislation, characterizing it as an action to protect casino interests. If passed, the bill would impact multiple prediction market platforms, with the core dispute centering on the allocation of regulatory authority.

Polymarket full launch fee: All crypto market time frames included, market makers receive daily USDC rebates

Prediction market platform Polymarket announced it will expand its fee mechanism to all crypto market timeframes and introduce a daily USDC rebate mechanism for liquidity providers. The new floating fee structure has a maximum of 1.56%. This move marks a shift in the platform's business model and could reshape the competitive landscape, elevating the importance of artificial market makers.

Hey Anon Announces Launch of “Pandora” Prediction Market on Ethereum

Hey Anon launches Pandora, a decentralized AI-driven prediction market on Ethereum, empowering users to create transparent markets without central control. The platform features unique AI consensus mechanisms and aims to innovate the prediction market landscape.