On February 24, on-chain investigator ZachXBT posted on social media that he will release a major investigation into one of the “most profitable companies in the crypto industry” on February 26, predicting a rapid market surge. Betting volume around the event of “the next crypto company exposed for insider trading” has approached $3 million, with market sentiment clearly shifting toward high speculation and information warfare.
This prediction contract mainly reflects traders’ judgments about potential targets rather than confirmed facts. As a blockchain-based prediction platform, Polymarket allows users to trade real-money contracts on real-world events. Its odds are often seen as real-time indicators of market confidence and expectation distribution, making it an important tool for observing unresolved events in the crypto industry after the 2024 US elections.
As of early Asian trading hours, Solana ecosystem liquidity platform Meteora leads with approximately a 43% probability, contributing over $300,000 in trading volume. Community discussions mainly focus on Meme coin initial liquidity mechanisms and early price fluctuation beneficiaries. Additionally, Axiom and Pump.fun follow with 13% and 12% shares respectively, with Pump.fun having the highest single trading volume, indicating significant market disagreement rather than a unified consensus.
Meanwhile, Jupiter and a certain CEX also rank highly in odds, reflecting ongoing discussions about Solana DeFi routing mechanisms, token launch schedules, and “whale-friendly liquidity.” Notably, the odds for Axiom, Pump.fun, and Jupiter have dropped over 30% since opening, while Meteora’s advantage has widened, suggesting speculative funds are shifting from dispersed guesses to more concentrated judgments.
However, prediction markets fundamentally price beliefs rather than evidence. Current odds only represent the collective guesses of thousands of participants based on public information, historical investigation styles, and social cues, and do not constitute any substantive accusations. As the investigation release date approaches, crypto market sentiment, insider trading risk expectations, and on-chain investigation developments may continue to influence project attention and capital flows in the short term.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
Prediction Market Platform Myriad Completes Seed Funding Round, Fundstrat Co-Founder Tom Lee and Others Participate
Myriad platform announced the completion of seed round financing on March 20, with participating institutions including MoonPay Ventures and others, and individual investors including Tom Lee. Following the financing, Myriad Season 3 went live, event contracts migrated to BNB Chain, the liquidity model was upgraded, and multiple new features were added.
GateNews12m ago
MLB Signs Agreement with CFTC and Polymarket to Protect Prediction Market Integrity
Major League Baseball (MLB) has established a "integrity protection" agreement with the CFTC and partnered with Polymarket to better manage the rapidly growing prediction market, amidst increased legal scrutiny on such platforms.
TapChiBitcoin16m ago
A prediction platform's odds for the event "U.S. confirms existence of extraterrestrials before 2027" has risen to 17%, with trading volume approaching $18.5 million.
On March 20, prediction platforms showed the probability of the U.S. confirming the existence of extraterrestrials before 2027 rose to 17%. The White House-registered "aliens.gov" currently has no content. Trump announced plans to declassify UFO-related files, with the Defense Secretary confirming a review is underway, though no timeline was disclosed. Former officials claim the government holds numerous unpublished video evidence.
GateNews39m ago
Polymarket Partial Prediction Functionality Appears to Be Down, Order Book Displays Abnormally
Gate News reports that on March 20th, the official interface displayed that Polymarket's prediction function in certain sections appears to be down, with order books showing discrepancies from actual conditions. Trading, prices, positions, and balances may experience delays. Users are advised to trade with caution.
GateNews40m ago
Kalshi Completes $1 Billion Fundraising, Valuation Doubles to $22 Billion from Last Year
Prediction market platform Kalshi recently announced the completion of over $1 billion in funding, reaching a valuation of $22 billion, demonstrating that its business model has entered a profitable trajectory. Against the backdrop of this financing, Kalshi faces criminal charges in Arizona; however, the CFTC supports the legitimacy of its business operations, noting that state law lacks jurisdiction. This situation indicates that prediction markets are gradually becoming mainstream in fintech.
MarketWhisper55m ago
High-Confidence Account Wagers $75K on Spurs to Beat Suns on Polymarket
A high-confidence account placed a $75,000 bet on the Spurs to beat the Suns in their NBA matchup on Polymarket, starting at 80.9¢. At halftime, the Spurs trail 52-59, and the market price dropped to 68¢.
GateNews1h ago
