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Bitcoin drops back to $70,000, the Federal Reserve keeps interest rates steady, and Middle East geopolitical tensions drive oil prices higher

On March 19, Bitcoin pulled back to $70,000, while Ethereum declined to $2,160. The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates unchanged, oil prices rose, and Iran's attack on Gulf energy facilities drove crude oil and natural gas prices to surge. The crypto market saw liquidations of nearly $600 million in positions, with the majority being long positions. Market futures open interest decreased, and mainstream coin funding rates turned negative.

Multiple energy facilities in the Persian Gulf have been attacked, European natural gas futures surged approximately 35%, and Brent crude oil rose to $118 per barrel

Recent attacks on multiple energy facilities in the Persian Gulf region have caused sharp increases in oil and natural gas prices. European natural gas futures have soared to twice pre-war levels, while Brent crude futures reached $118 per barrel. Attack incidents include Iranian missiles striking a Qatari liquefied natural gas facility and drone strikes on Abu Dhabi and Kuwait facilities, raising market concerns about energy price increases.

Bank of England and European Central Bank to announce interest rate decisions tonight, Middle East conflict may impact monetary policy path

Gate News reported that on March 19, the Bank of England will announce its interest rate decision (the central bank's policy decision on whether to adjust the benchmark interest rate) and meeting minutes at 20:00 Beijing time tonight, and the European Central Bank will announce its interest rate decision at 21:15. Affected by the Middle East conflict, the monetary policies of the two major central banks face uncertainty. The market expects this meeting to maintain a wait-and-see stance, but bets on future rate hikes continue to increase.

Anduril Founder Luckey: U.S.-China AI Gap Is Extremely Small, China's Deployment Speed Far Exceeds U.S.

Anduril Industries founder Palmer Luckey warned on the Axios Show that America's lead in the AI race is extremely slim, pointing out that China is moving faster than the United States in AI applications. Luckey emphasized China's structural advantages and mentioned application gaps across different sectors in the United States. Additionally, he supports the Department of Defense's tough stance on supply chain risks and discussed changes in future warfare domains.

HSBC: Bank of Japan's Rate Hike Path Narrows, More Inclined to Wait for Clarity Before Acting

HSBC analysts指出，由于能源成本上升和日元贬值导致物价上涨，日本央行面临收紧货币政策的压力。同时，经济增长受限，预计将保持政策灵活性，可能会在夏季晚些时候再次收紧。

Dutch Cooperative Bank Cuts 2026 Fed Rate Cut Expectations from Three to Two

Dutch Cooperative Bank analyst Philip Marey stated that despite rising inflation, the FOMC expects only two rate cuts in 2026, reflecting a muted response to energy price increases. Meanwhile, the Iran conflict could impact rate cut expectations.