Prediction market platform Fireplace completes $1.5 million pre-seed funding round, led by Frachtis

Polymarket high win-rate address invests $4500, betting on Hormuz Strait normalization before May

Polymarket predictions show that a certain address invested $4,500 with a 77% win rate to purchase the "yes" option for the Strait of Hormuz returning to normal, with the current probability at 25%. Iraq and Iran are negotiating tanker passage safety and considering resuming pipeline operations, with the UAE potentially participating in international action to secure the strait.

Classic Series] Venezuela Wins First Championship! Polymarket Prediction Flops, But Traders Profit Over 10 Million

Venezuela defeated the United States 3-2 in the 2026 WBC Classic, winning their first championship in team history. The match was thrilling, with the United States tying it at one point before Venezuela's Eugenio Suárez delivered a key hit to secure the victory. Prediction markets experienced a reversal, with one trader successfully betting on Venezuela and earning profits exceeding $344,749 (approximately 10.97 million New Taiwan Dollars). MLB expert predictions largely did not align with the actual results, demonstrating how unpredictable sporting events can be.

South Korean Middle-Aged Retail Investors Spark XRP Trading Frenzy, Price Expected to Break Through $1.80

Recently, Korean middle-aged retail investors have driven a surge in XRP trading activity, with transaction volumes rising significantly. Analysts indicate that enthusiasm from investors aged 40 to 50 and interest in XRP ETFs continue to increase, with expectations that XRP prices may rise in the short term, solidifying its position in the Asian market.

3 Addresses Deposit $11,800 on Polymarket, Betting Netanyahu Will Step Down by End of March

On March 18, Polymarket prediction market showed that three investors who had previously profited in Middle Eastern markets wagered $11,800, betting on whether Netanyahu would step down by March 31, with current odds at 3%. Netanyahu's consecutive absences from multiple meetings have raised external concerns about his health condition, and related videos are suspected to possibly contain AI-generated content.

US Launches "BETS OFF Act" to Target War Prediction Markets, Insider Trading Concerns Surface

U.S. Congressional Democratic lawmakers have introduced the "BETS OFF Act," aimed at restricting predictive betting on wars and national security events to prevent speculation using sensitive information. The bill stems from unusual betting activities, with Senators Murphy and Representatives Casar emphasizing the ethical controversies and systemic loopholes in such conduct. If the bill advances, it will impact blockchain-based event trading models.

Polymarket bets on US-Iran conflict ending by June, market expectations show key time window

Prediction market data suggests that the US-Iran conflict may reach a turning point by the end of Q2 2026, with strengthened near-term expectations for de-escalation. Internal government divisions and resumed communication between the two sides indicate increased possibilities for cooling tensions. Meanwhile, economic pressures and public skepticism regarding war are affecting the conflict's sustainability. Analysts believe this round of conflict is constrained by economic factors and geopolitical balance, with projections indicating a relatively limited scope.