2026-03-23 14:30:41
Polymarket "crude oil reaches $90 by end of March" probability surges to 82%, intraday gain of 67%
Polymarket shows that the probability of crude oil reaching $90 by the end of March has risen to 82%, while the probability of reaching $100 has fallen to 36%. Trump mentioned that Iran may no longer develop nuclear weapons and the Strait of Hormuz could be managed by multiple parties, which could lead to oil price volatility. Market uncertainty about the Middle East situation has caused divergent expectations for oil prices.